The total number of deaths in Tokyo due to the corona shock (COVID shock) in 2020 has risen to “about 200”. Meanwhile, the cumulative death toll in New York City is estimated to be “over 24,000”. Reference: CBS “Coronavirus death toll in NYC likely worse than official tally, CDC study says” (May 12, 2020)
In other words, the death toll in New York City is “more than 100 times” that of Tokyo. The reasons for such a difference are discussed below.
However, before we do, let’s note the populations of Tokyo and New York City. In fact, the populations of New York City and Tokyo are roughly the same, with about 9 million people. In that sense, they are a good comparison. Incidentally, New York State has a population of about 20 million people.
Be careful not to confuse the State of New York (NYS) with the City of New York (NYC).
The following are hypotheses as to why the rate of infection in Japan (Tokyo) is slow.
There is no resistance to wearing a mask on a daily basis as the mask culture is well established in Japan.
In Japan, there is no culture of kissing and hugging.
In Japan, the inspection system was insufficient and the number of inspections was limited.
Another hypothesis is that COVID (type S) had already partially invaded Japan some time ago, and some people had acquired immunity. One explanation for this is that this year’s influenza has stopped rapidly, and this is due to the inhibition of influenza by the S type. In fact, even before the coronation shock, it was pointed out that this year’s influenza epidemic was low, and people were wondering if an unknown virus might have entered the country. There seems to have been some talk of a
The limit on the number of inspections was due to the limited response of the health department. Although the PCR test itself is available, it seems to have been bogged down by the way it was handled before the patient was given the test. This is due to too much concentration of various jobs in the health department. Against this backdrop, Japan focused on testing only “highly probable patients” in order to prevent the collapse of medical care and health centers. This could cause the statistical data to lose credibility. However, the symptom of COVID is “pneumonia,” which is easily understood as a symptom. Therefore, the number of seriously ill patients and deaths is considered to be fairly accurate. And there is no mention of a spike in serious injuries or deaths. Some cases have been confirmed to have been infected after death, but this is a small number of cases. Therefore, the statistical data can be generally considered reliable.
Incidentally, as of the end of April, the cumulative number of deaths in Tokyo was about 100, and the cumulative number of deaths in New York City was about 10,000. In other words, there is an even bigger difference between Tokyo and New York City when it comes to the number of deaths. This is partly due to the fact that the medical insurance system in the United States is not as well organized as in Japan. In the United States, “Obamacare” was being promoted as a health insurance system, but President Trump has repealed Obamacare in the past.
Many people infected with COVID are asymptomatic and often unaware of it. In fact, according to Keio University Hospital, about 6% of the patients scheduled to be hospitalized with something other than the new coronavirus were confirmed to be positive. In the United States, a similar survey identified about 13% of people infected. This means that there are many infected people around the world who have not been detected in the official statistics. However, that doesn’t mean that the official statistics are totally useless. The official statistics can be interpreted as detecting mainly in patients with subjective symptoms. Therefore, the increase or decrease in the number of infected people in official statistics is meaningful.
The infection explosion in New York City started in early March and subsided in late April. Of course, this is partly due to the “curfew” effect, but it’s also likely to be due to the “collective immunity” effect. In other words, there are many people who have acquired antibodies naturally by being infected once, and these act as a barrier to the increase in the number of infected people. In fact, in New York City, more than 20 percent of people had antibodies. This is according to a random survey in New York State. Reference: FNN Prime Online, “14% of U.S. and NY State Have Antibodies, Estimated 2.7 Million People Already Infected” (April 24, 2020)